What AFC need to survive in Division 2

Objective 1 - survival. So what do Arbroath need to do to survive this coming season?.

Stats of the past 10 seasons suggest we must accumulate over 41 points over the 36 games to finish 3^rd bottom and thus stay clear of the playoffs. That means very roughly - winning 11 and drawing 11 (and thus losing only 14).

38 points or above should, on average be enough to avoid automatic relegation but we'd still need to face the playoffs. That means roughly winning 9 and drawing 11 losing only 16.

Over the full season we need a good start and/or around 10 points every quarter - or round of 9 games. Better start counting to see if we can keep on track

To avoid a playoff place we need to finish 3rd bottom

Season	3rd Bottom Team	Points	GD
2007-08	Queens Park	44	-3
2006-07	Peterhead	42	-2
2005-06	Forfar Ath	40	-11
2004-05	Ayr Utd	42	-15
2003-04	Arbroath	43	-16
2002-03	Hamilton Acc	47	-5
2001-02	Stenhousemuir	36	-24
2000-01	Forfar Ath	40	-4
1999-00	Stenhousemuir	38	-12
1998-99	Partick Thistle	43	-9
Average		41.5	-10

To avoid an automatic relegation, we need to finish 2nd bottom (and face the playoffs)

Season	2nd Bottom Team	Points	GD
2007-08	Cowdenbeath	37	-26
2006-07	Stranraer	39	-29
2005-06	Alloa Ath	32	-41
2004-05	Arbroath	38	-24
2003-04	East Fife	41	-7
2002-03	Stranraer	44	-8
2001-02	Stenhousemuir	36	-24
2000-01	Queens Park	40	-12
1999-00	Queen o/t South	33	-30
1998-99	East Fife	42	-27
Average		38.2	-23

Or should we be keeping track at the top end of the table??